Strategy
Realistic. Sequenced. Constitutional.
Impeachment without conviction is a censure. To remove a sitting president, 67 senators must vote to convict — a bar that has never been cleared. Meeting it requires a clear factual record, a 218-vote House majority willing to act, and durable public support strong enough to move at least a dozen senators of the president's own party.
Phase 1
01
Build the record (now → Jan 2027)
- Document conduct in real time: archive executive orders, agency directives, and court filings.
- Support inspector-general independence, whistleblower protections, and FOIA litigation.
- Pressure House minority members to demand standing investigative hearings on specific conduct.
Phase 2
02
Win the House majority (Nov 3, 2026)
- Flip a net of seats sufficient for a 218-seat Democratic majority in the 120th Congress.
- Focus resources on the ~30 most competitive districts identified by Cook Political Report.
- Elect members willing to vote Articles of Impeachment based on the record — not on polling.
Phase 3
03
Draft and pass Articles (Jan 2027 →)
- House Judiciary Committee holds public evidentiary hearings, calls witnesses, and votes Articles.
- Full House debates and votes. A simple majority (218) impeaches.
- Articles are transmitted to the Senate; House managers are appointed to prosecute the trial.
Phase 4
04
Senate trial & conviction (2027)
- Chief Justice presides. Senators sit as jurors under oath.
- Conviction requires a two-thirds supermajority — 67 senators — on any single Article.
- Removal is automatic on conviction. Disqualification from future office requires a separate majority vote.
The math, plainly.
218
House votes to impeach
67
Senate votes to convict
~13
GOP senators needed to cross over (depends on Senate composition after 2026)
No previous impeachment trial has produced even ten cross-party convictions. The 2026 midterms are the single largest variable in changing that arithmetic.